Algerian Diplomacy’s Possible Scenarios To Confront The Makhzen

Recent developments in the Maghreb region after Morocco declared normalization with Israel and America’s alleged recognition that Western Sahara is Morrocan put Algeria in front of several open scenarios and tensions that force it to reconsider its political strategy, to avoid the repercussions of the Moroccan policy’s recklessness, the expert in security and military affairs, Ramdane Hamlet, said.

Security analyst Akram Kherif explained that the issue of political isolation will cast a shadow over the Algerian diplomacy, which is forced to move and clearly define its position.

Ramdane Hamlet added that the security situation in the region predicts serious tensions on Algeria as a result of Morocco’s recent moves and its normalization with the Zionist entity in exchange for obtaining an alleged recognition from the United States of America that Western Sahara belongs to Morrocan, which puts the region on a volcano, especially in light of the worrying security indicators as a result of the return of terrorist activity and the high pace of conflicts and crises, the last of which was the stabilization of the Zionist entity in the region, and thus Algeria is forced to re-lay down a new strategy to confront security threats.

“We are facing tough pangs, which requires activating the vigilance system and realizing the challenges to save Algeria from the political repercussions due to the Moroccan recklessness in the region”, he added.

Ramdane Hamlet to Echorouk that the issue of Morroco’s normalization with the Zionist entity is not a new matter, as there is more than one evidence of relations between the two parties for a long time. However, the recent announcement was tantamount to the openness that came after Morocco failed to find a solution to the Western Sahara issue.

“The Moroccan regime has lost its compass and balance, especially since the international community affirms the right of the Sahrawi people to determine their own destiny, and thus Morocco is trying to create alternative margins and crises”.

“The tweet of the outgoing US President Donald Trump in which he acknowledged the sovereignty of Morocco over Western Sahara will not change the legality of the Western Sahara issue. These moves are originally serving the Sahrawi cause, especially since they have not benefited from the ceasefire for 23 years. A year ago, Morocco’s harassment came in Guerguerat, which brought the issue back on to international platforms”.

“The breach of the agreement gave legitimacy to the Sahrawis to return to the option of armed action, and publicizing normalization with the Zionist entity is a lost deal that the Moroccan people will pay for. The Sahrawis should take advantage of the gifts offered by the Moroccan regime through its failed choices”.

Regarding Algeria, the security expert said; “Our country has a strong and organized army that has a long-term strategic view, but Morocco’s recent moves force it to sense danger and reconsider the upcoming challenges”.

Security expert Akram Kherif told Echorouk that the problem that Algeria will face after Morocco’s actions and its official declaration of normalization with the Zionist entity in exchange for recognition from the United States of America of their right to the Sahrawi lands will make Algerian diplomacy face isolation internationally after it lost some of its alleged allies. Today we are facing two issues, the first is the recognition and the second is normalization”.

In terms of security, he explained that Morocco’s decisions will not pose a threat to Algeria and its borders, but he believes it is necessary for the Algerian diplomacy to clearly state its position, especially since the decision of the United States of America regarding Western Sahara has no legal basis, it is merely a state recognition only, saying: “This matter does not add anything to this diplomatic path to liberate Western Sahara”.

“Among the excluded scenarios that would pose a threat to Algeria, is the continuation of the United States of America in its policy in supporting Morocco by considering the Polisario as a terrorist organization, and the second unlikely option is Morocco’s taking of 20% of the liberated Western Sahara lands, which would bring the region into a real conflict and bring the Algerian army into contact with its Moroccan counterpart.